Thursday, December 1, 2011

Gameweek 14 Fantasy Preview

Gary Speed (1969-2011)
Overview
Shocking news earlier this week as one of the Premier League legends, Gary Speed, was found dead at his home following his suicide. Big loss.

Carling Cup Review
So Liverpool will meet Manchester City at the semis after killing off Chelsea twice at Stamford Bridge in just 9 days. Crazy fixtures. In the other end we will see Championship sides Cardiff and Crystal Palace facing against each other. It's surprising to not see Manchester United in the last four list.

7-Gameweek Fixture Analysis (Published Monthly)
In heaven run:
  1. Everton (STO, @ARS, NOR, SWA, @SUN,  @BLA, BOL) - Pretty lenient ones in the midst of hellish calendar month. Be sure to monitor on Baines, Drenthe and supersub Vellios.
  2. Liverpool (@FUL, QPR, @AST, @WIG, BLA, NEW, @MCI) - Shouldn't be too much of troubles defensively. If they can convert the chances more efficiently they should be able to slide into fourth place.
  3. Man Utd (@AST, WOL, @QPR, @FUL, WIG, BLA, @NEW) - A good platform to improve their form... Hopefully they will.
  4. Sunderland (@WOL, BLA, @TOT, @QPR, EVE, MCI, @WIG) - Loads of bottom team for them to earn some solid league points.
  5. Swansea (@BLA, FUL, @NEW, @EVE, QPR, TOT, @AST) - A crucial period to book their survival place in the Prem.
  6. Tottenham (BOL, @STO, SUN, CHE, @NOR, @SWA, WBA) - Great fixtures to lift them nearer to the league leaders.

In hell run:
  1. Aston Villa (MUN, @BOL, LIV, ARS, @STO, @CHE, SWA) - Extremely tough to handle, especially when the compact festive games are coming.
  2. Chelsea (@NEW, MCI, @WIG, @TOT, FUL, AST, @WOL) - The tough string of games won't help them to regain their form and confidence.
  3. Fulham (LIV, @SWA, BOL, MUN, @CHE, @NOR, ARS) - All the teams they face have at least some decent attacking force, if not great.
  4. Wigan (ARS, @WBA, CHE, LIV, @STO, SUN, @MCI) - Might be an early death sentence on Martinez and his team.



Game of the Week: NEWCASTLE v CHELSEA
Ben Arfa will cause big
trouble to Chelsea's defence.
It's going to be a tough month for Andre Villas-Boas as he will continue to play against tough oppositions in what that might become his job-deciding matches. St. James' Park is his first destination for Chelsea this month (hopefully not his last).

Newcastle played yet another solid game against Manchester United at Old Trafford, conceding only due to some bad luck. While the penalty was controversial, I simply wouldn't deny the fact that they deserve to take something from Old Trafford. Impressive.

The back four who started for every league games together should play together again - expect superb fortress-like defence which is further solidify with the presence of Krul. I rate the Dutch stopper now on par with Vorm and Hart as the league's toughest keeper to pass through. Up front we shall see Ben Arfa and Demba Ba creating havoc again and perhaps score a goal or two together.

On the other side, Chelsea are losing the cutting edge they have seasons before, and their results against the top sides were all but defeats this season. Losing twice at Stamford Bridge against the same side Liverpool certainly isn't a healthy sign for AVB's squad form. Terrible.

Defence has always been the fatal point of the Blues - many goals conceded were due to silly mistakes of the defenders. Attack isn't too sharp neither, with Sturridge, Mata and Lampard the only three reliable finishing points to score goals.

It's going to be close again, and I think the Magpies' work rate as a team should give AVB a worthwhile lesson.

Prediction: NEW 1-0 CHE
Pick: Ben Arfa
Drop: CHE defence


Fantasy Game of the Week: MANCHESTER CITY v NORWICH
Show time for Aguero again?
Manchester City might have lost the mighty form they had a month or two before, but at home against Norwich it's certainly too hard to resist.

Aguero and Silva are still two of the best fantasy performers - make them your captain and you will most probably get well rewarded with 10++ points. Mouth-watering picks.

Defensively it's not that formidable as before, but you shall still play your Kompany and/or Richards if you own them with them playing at home.

Should be solid win for City at least. Would be a big headline if Norwich are able to escape from Etihad.

Prediction: MCI 3-0 NOR
Pick and Captain: Aguero, Silva
Pick: MCI defence
Drop: NOR players


Pick and Drop
Pick and Captain:
  1. Adebayor - Bolton is quite easy for him I suppose.
  2. Van Persie - A big yes against one of the worst side of the Premier League.
Pick:
  1. Walcott/ Ramsey - Should provide big threat to Wigan
  2. Agbonlahor - To take advantage against off-form Man Utd.
  3. Bellamy - In great form, though not that sure to start the game.
Drop:
  1. WIG defence - Never a decent pick.
  2. MUN defence - Not sure how they can hold Agbonlahor and Bent.



Transfer Traffic
Green light (buy):

  1. Bale - Stacking up points in the speed of light.
  2. Mata - Even if everyone in Chelsea is unpickable, he won't be.
  3. Ben Arfa - Continues to impress me with his superior influence in Newcastle's attack.
  4. Adebayor - Well supplied to score goals.
  5. EVE defence - Three of the next four games at home.
  6. Krul - Such a fantastic goalkeeper.
Yellow light (watch):
  1. LIV defence - Surely Lucas' absence for the rest of the season is going to adversely affect them.
  2. Bellamy - If he can just lock down a place from Dalglish's first XI, he will be a sure fire pick.
  3. Aguero - With City's form declining, it's not that sure to own him now.
Red light (drop):
  1. MUN players - Players are severely disjointed. Stay away until they regain their form.
  2. Balotelli - His stupidity will hinder you from harvesting points from him.



Gameweek 14 Dream Team
Krul
Jagielka -- Richards -- Walker
Bale -- Ben Arfa -- Walcott -- Silva
Van Persie -- Aguero (C) -- Adebayor (VC)

Subs: Vorm -- Barton -- Luke Young -- Simpson

3 comments:

  1. Brilliant review,as usual.
    Certainly one of the best fpl blogs on the net
    I have 6.2 for a defender,already have kompany,simpson,enrique and barnett
    should i be going for someone like jagielka/hibbert or monk(cheap)

    ReplyDelete
  2. Jagielka tops my list given his untouchable position and ability to score occasional goals...

    For Monk, yes he's cheap but I think Vorm's only best buy from Swansea's defence. Short term fixtures doesn't look convincing neither.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Aguero should register a good Gameweek, but I'm hesitant about the City attack with Mancini's rotation policy.

    With the Bayern game coming up he could decide to rest both Silva and Aguero.

    ReplyDelete