Friday, August 5, 2011

2011/12 Fantasy Season Preview - Wolverhampton Wanderers

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
Last Season Summary
League ranking: 17th (40 pts)
Points per game (home: away): 1.47: 0.63
Goals per game (for: against): 1.21: 1.74
Number of clean sheets: 5
Top league scorer: Steven Fletcher (10 goals)
Top league assister: Matthew Jarvis (6 assists)

Transfers
In: Jamie O'Hara, Dorus de Vries, Roger Johnson
Out: Greg Halford, Scott Malone, Danny Batth

Predicted Season Finish: 17th
Not a showy team in the Premier League. Staying in the top flight has always been Wolves' target every season, and it will be the same too this time. They will continue to struggle but thanks to their relatively weaker competitors, they will again survive.

Fantasy Ace?: Matthew Jarvis (£6.0m)
To be frank Wolves is not a productive fantasy team - only one player managed to break the 100 point benchmark, and he's Jarvis. At £6.0m Jarvis is a little bit pricey, but if you think Wolves will do well this season, he's the best person to invest in.

Decent Picks: Roger Johnson (£5.0m)
The solid centre back from Birmingham has immediately become the Wolves' skipper after he joined the club. His leadership and experience will help reduce Wolves' goals against figure, but whether he can improve on his fantasy score is another question.

Worth Scouting: Steven Fletcher (£6.5m), Kevin Doyle (£6.0m)
Both strikers are decent, but their price tags have made them not so worthy investments. Depending on their form, you may think of getting them.

Thursday, August 4, 2011

2011/12 Fantasy Season Preview - Queens Park Rangers


Queens Park Rangers FC
Last Season Summary
League ranking: 1st - League Championship (88 points)
Points per game (home: away): 2.13: 1.70
Goals per game (for: against): 1.54: 0.70
Number of clean sheets: 25 (out of 46 games)
Top league scorer: Adel Taarabt (19 goals)
Top league assister: Adel Taarabt (16 assists)

Transfers
In: Jay Bothroyd, Kieron Dyer, Danny Gabbidon
Out: Mikele Leigertwood

Predicted Season Finish: 14th
I am quite positive about QPR's survival. Decent defence, coupled with the existence of Adel Taarabt, should make them a pretty consistently performing team. I cannot wait to see them in action.

Fantasy Ace: Adel Taarabt (£6.5m)
Being the most expensive fantasy player among those who promoted, Adel Taarabt is this season's Charlie Adam. Crowned as "The Next Zidane" by some, Taarabt does have a lot of skills to show: impressive footwork, wide vision, precision passes, clinical finishing, solid free kicks and the best of all, he can play at both middle and sideways.

With such attacking variability, defenders will have big trouble to guard him. He will definitely shine in the Premier League. I am expecting more than 150 fantasy points from him. Hopefully he won't be gone before the season starts.

Decent Picks: Jay Bothroyd (£6.0m), Dudley Campbell (£5.5m), Danny Gabbidon (£4.0m)
Both are equipped with Premier League experience. Bothroyd scored 18 goals and 8 assists for Cardiff last season. It might be just okay, but with better supplies at QPR (particularly Taarabt), he should benefit.

Unfortunately for Heidar Helguson, the arrival of DJ Campbell is expected to make the former lost his place. Campbell has gone through a productive season with Blackpool, producing 13 goals and 4 assists. That kind of figure at Premier League should be more than enough to gain your confidence on him.

On the other hand, being so experienced in Premier League relegation fight, Wales international Gabbidon is a budget choice for 5th defender. QPR's relatively good defence record compared to the other two promoted sides should be able to help him to score more fantasy points.

2011/12 Fantasy Season Preview - Norwich


Norwich City FC
Last Season Summary
League ranking: 2nd - League Championship (80 points)
Points per game (home: away): 1.96: 1.70
Goals per game (for: against): 1.80: 1.26
Number of clean sheets: 11 (out of 46 games)
Top league scorer: Grant Holt (21 goals)
Top league assister: Grant Holt (14 assists)

Transfers
In: James Vaughan, Steve Morrison, Elliott Bennett, Richie de Laet, Bradley Johnson, Anthony Pilkington, Kyle Naughton
Out: Owain Todur-Jones, Jed Steer

Predicted Season Finish: 19th
Almost the same situation as Swansea. Although it's still too early to say how new defenders like Richie de Laet and Kyle Naughton can improve the defence, but it they stick to their League Championship playing style relegation is almost certain.

Fantasy Ace: Grant Holt (£5.5m)
Stats above alone has shown why Grant Holt is the fantasy ace of the team. 21 goals combined with 14 assists simply indicates how all-rounded is he as a striker. He could be the Championship Player of the Year if not for the even better Adel Taarabt.

He has been in the Team of the Year from League Two (fourth division) up until League Championship. That makes me believe that he will not have any problems to shine in Premier League as well.

Worth Scouting: Wesley Hoolahan (£5.5m), Anthony Pilkington (£5.0m), James Vaughan (£5.0m)
Hoolahan is quite decent as a midfielder. However, a record of 10 goals and 9 assists from Championship will not be enough to lure me to splash £5.5m on him - he needs to show that he can do it at the highest level as well.

As for the two new signings, Pilkington has only played for League One or lower level leagues, while James Vaughan only played a major role for his team last season. It's still unknown how much potential they have, so just keep an eye for them.

2011/12 Fantasy Season Preview - Swansea

Swansea City AFC
Last Season Summary
League ranking: 3rd - League Championship (80 points)
Points per game (home: away): 2.17: 1.30
Goals per game (for: against): 1.50: 0.91
Number of clean sheets: 21 (out of 46 games)
Top league scorer: Scott Sinclair (22 goals)
Top league assister: Nathan Dyer (9 assists)

Transfers
In: Danny Graham, Steven Caulker
Out: Dorus De Vries, Scott Donnelly, Darren Pratley, Kerry Morgan

Predicted Season Finish: 18th
There wasn't anything too impressive about their statistics. Given no real impact signings yet thus far, Swansea is lacking the strength and depth to survive the tough challenges of Premier League in my opinion.

Fantasy Ace: Scott Sinclair (£6.0m)
The English footballer was bought last year for £500k, and the investment has been superbly rewarded. This talented winger had scored 22 goals last season, and I expect he can score at least one-third of that figure at Premier League this season. His outstanding goalscoring ability should also nick him some bonus points.

The only downside, of course, is his lack of assists (only 2 last season).

Decent Picks: Danny Graham (£5.0m)
Danny Graham was the of Watford at League Championship last season, scoring 23 goals from as low as 58 shots. That kind of efficiency may lead Swansea off against relegation. Decent third striker in my opinion.

Worth Scouting: Angel Rangel (£4.5m), Ashley Williams (£4.5m)
Rangel and Williams are experienced right-back and centre-back respectively and form the integral part of Swansea's defence. It's still too early to judge how good can Swansea defend in Premier League, so we shall wait and see.

Wednesday, August 3, 2011

2010/11 Fantasy Season Preview Coming Soon

Allow me to guide you through the challenge.
Be patient, everyone. I am on my way writing team by team pre-season fantasy previews and it should be released within the next few days.

Hopefully you can succeed in your fantasy career with this little help of mine. Good luck!

Tuesday, August 2, 2011

Lee Chung-Yong to Miss Next Season; Joey Barton On Transfer List

Two budget fantasy midfielders are on the headlines these two days:
Chung-Yong Lee
To miss this whole coming season after breaking his leg.
1. Chung-Yong Lee, the second-most popular Premier League Asian after Manchester United's Ji-Sung Park, is forced to miss this coming season after breaking his leg in a friendly against Newport County.

Joey Barton
On the transfer list now.
2. Joey Barton, the second-most popular budget fantasy midfielder after Charlie Adam last season, was put on the transfer list after a dispute with the club owners regarding contract extension. He is even told that he can leave on free.

We might lose both budget fantasy midfielders for this very new season. Bad news.



Game Strategy Guide (Renewed for 2011/12 Season)


Just a simple guide for those who are new. Have fun learning! Can be navigated through "How to Play?" tab above as well.


Gameplay Strategies
  1. Statistics Rules, Not Team/Popularity/Preference
  2. Pick By Fixtures
  3. Money Business
  4. Big Guns for Captains
  5. Bonus Magnets
  6. Set Piece Marvels
  7. No Rubbish Benchwarmers
  8. Attack Takes Precedence
  9. Less Transfers = More Points
  10. Follow the Flow v Lead the Trend
  11. Double Decker
  12. Wildcard
  13. Research Gives You the Edge

Fernando Torres
Unfortunately commercial value is useless in FPL.
Statistics Rules, Not Team/Popularity/Preference
First thing first, not all Premier League stars are fantasy stars! Players like Fernando Torres is adored by millions of fans across the world, and yet, he is unproductive, both reality and fantasy, since he joined Chelsea (I am not ruling out the chances that he will shine this season though).

Therefore, it is always important to check for player goal, assist, clean sheet figures and make your decisions based on that. Not because of A is the player from your favourite team, B is your idol etc..

Pick By Fixtures
Not only that picking the right player matters, picking the right player at right time is important too. The opponents whom your players face generally affect your gameweek's fantasy scores. Good fantasy points are scored usually against lesser oppositions (e.g. West Ham, Wigan and Birmingham of last season) and the opposite against stronger foes (e.g. Man Utd, Chelsea and Man City).

Hence, to become a good fantasy manager you have to plan at least three to four gameweeks ahead and make squad/transfer decisions based on forthcoming fixtures.

Money Business
Charlie Adam
Price hiked by more than £1m last season.
For your information, prices of players rise/drop according to their performance and fantasy managers' transfer movements. Every £0.2m of price increase after your player is bought will amount to £0.1m of profit for selling the player.

With this at mind, it is again important to buy and also sell the right player at right time. A good transfer strategy will raise your budget significantly, allowing you to get better quality players as the season progresses. You will not want to lose simply because you cannot afford to buy strong players, will you?

Robin van Persie
Big guns like him can score in average ten
points per game for months.
Big Guns for Captains
Peacemaker-J's definition of BIG GUNS: players that can provide consistent double-digit or close to  double-digit scores week in, week out. Examples: Robin van Persie, Carlos Tevez, Charlie Adam etc..

Big guns are the pillars for your teams: majority of your fantasy points will come from them. With that in mind, you should choose your desired big guns carefully and captain them strategically according to fixtures. Picking the correct captain will save you from misery when the rest of your team fails to score and give you a big leap in rankings when your other players perform well too.

Bonus Magnets
Peacemaker-J's definition of BONUS MAGNETS: players that score bonus points week in, week out due to their consistent and outstanding on field performance. Examples: Charlie Adam, Robin van Persie, Luka Modric etc..

What do bonus magnets provides? Not only that they provide extra points for you, but they also help to make your gameweek scores more consistent. Bear in mind that a top-ranked FPL player scores good points almost every gameweek, because a bad score will take you down a lot when you are at the upper band.

Leighton Baines
He has a handsome left foot.
Set Piece Marvels
Peacemaker-J's definition of SET PIECE MARVELS (I know you are getting boring): players who have good chances to score fantasy points (directly or indirectly) through free kicks, corners and penalties. Examples: Frank Lampard, Gareth Bale, Leighton Baines etc..

Why are set piece marvels good? Let's take Leighton Baines as example. Whenever Everton is awarded a free kick or corner at the front third, Baines the set piece taker will take it. Since every set piece in the opposition's area is a chance for a goal or assist, Baines will have much more opportunity than the rest of the team to score. It is not a coincidence that Baines was the highest scoring defender last season.

No Rubbish Benchwarmers
This sentence has two meanings, (1) your substitutions must be decent enough to cover your squad when needed; and (2) your squad should not have someone who warms the bench in reality most of the time.

In short, get cheap yet effective fifth midfielder (e.g. Joey Barton of Newcastle), fourth and fifth defender (e.g. Andy Wilkinson of Stoke City), third striker (e.g. Fraizer Campbell of Sunderland) and backup goalkeeper (e.g. Craig Gordon of Sunderland) to cover up your starter. Also, avoid those players you are uncertain of whether they will start a game (e.g. Berbatov, Chamakh).

Attack Takes Precedence
Before I begin, let's clarify on this: Offensive players/attackers are not limited to forwards. It simply means players who are productive in providing goals and assists. Ashley Cole, a defender, for me is more to an offensive player.

Whenever you have a dilemma of whether investing more on attack or on defence, choose the prior. The rational: every clean sheet gets you only 4 points, and you can only get one clean sheet per game. Every goal gets you 4/5/6 (forward/midfielder/defender) points and every assist gets you 3 points, and you can get more than one goal/assist per game. Added with the offensive trend of Premier League these recent seasons, attackers generally provide you better fantasy points.

Less Transfers = More Points
Every transfer more than your gameweek quota (1 or 2 depending on your actions) will deduct 4 points from your current gameweek score.

Therefore it is wise to control your temptation to make a transfer. Only transfer when you think it is necessary/inevitable. The top fantasy teams in general made less than five penaltied transfers per season.

Follow the Flow v Lead the Trend
Two very distinct strategies in FPL - follow the flow and lead the trend.

Follow the flow: imitating the majority's transfer, squad and captain decisions. A good way to learn the essences of FPL for newbie. You will not score too bad because when the majority scores "badly", you are not considered bad.

Lead the trend: forecasting the upcoming hot fantasy prospects through analysis and experience.This is for experts who want to lead and win the game and private leagues. Not an easy task if you are without experience.

One of the crucial aspect of FPL that you
must pay more attention to.
Double Decker
Peacemaker-J's definition of DOUBLE DECKER: due to game delays or fixture changes, some teams play twice in one single gameweek, providing chances to score higher points than usual.

Golden rule: buy players, start players and captain the top scorer of the team who are in a double decker in that particular gameweek.

Of course, don't do that if you don't think that that double decker team (e.g. relegating team) is going to perform.


Wildcard
A wildcard is a powerful weapon that allows fantasy managers to make unlimited transfers for the gameweek that it is being used. There are 2 wildcards available - one to be used anytime you like and another only for winter transfer period (2 Jan to 4 Feb).

Wildcards are so powerful that they can change the tide of the game (especially private leagues). They should only be used when they are really needed - either your team are performing awfully bad or you strongly believe that you can form a new team that can score significantly better than your current one.

One good moment to use wildcard is at first few gameweeks. By forming a new team with good form, you can start to widen the gap with your private league rivals and boost your transfer kitty (team value) through the value rise of the performing players.

Research Gives You the Edge
Just like a stock market, you need to make some research in order to make good investments. Study your players, keep intact for latest news and check out your team frequently to make you team better than your friends!